Randall the Handle's Week 11 NFL selections

Kansas City Chiefs' Jamaal Charles (25) celebrates his touchdown with teammate Tony Moeaki (81)...

Kansas City Chiefs' Jamaal Charles (25) celebrates his touchdown with teammate Tony Moeaki (81) during the first quarter of their NFL football game against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania November 12, 2012. (REUTERS)

RANDALL THE HANDLE, Special to QMI Agency

, Last Updated: 7:51 PM ET

BEST BETS

Buccaneers (5-4) at Panthers (2-7)

LINE: TAMPA BAY BY 1.5

The tone for Carolina's poor season was set in the opener when these Buccaneers pulled off the 16-10 upset as a three-point underdog in Tampa. Much has gone wrong for the Panthers ever since but not enough to warrant the Bucs being favoured here. Despite their woes, the Black Cats are a couple of breaks and mental lapses away from a different season. Carolina has been at the short end of all five of its games decided by a touchdown or less. Tampa has crossed over the .500 mark with three straight wins but this could be the week that Cam Newton finds his truant passing game. The Bucs rank dead last in the league, giving up 321 yards per game through the air, nearly 20 more per game than both Buffalo and New Orleans.

TAKING: PANTHERS +1.5

Bengals (4-5) at Chiefs (1-8)

LINE: CINCINNATI BY 3.5

Now that the Chiefs have actually led in regulation, there are no limitations for what could be next. Something like winning a game, maybe? This could be the opportunity to do so. The Bengals have shown time and time again that they are not mature enough to handle the rigours of the NFL. Granted, Cincinnati had a solid win over the Giants last week but based on their recent play, the G-Men may have been running on fumes. Cincy heads to the road for the first time in five weeks. They lost their last road game in Cleveland. In addition, the Bengals have covered just three of past 17 when favoured. Kansas City showed that they haven't given up and perhaps Monday's effort carries into this one.

TAKING: CHIEFS +3.5

Ravens (7-2) at Steelers (6-3)

LINE: BALTIMORE BY 3.5

If only things were as easy as they often appear in the NFL. If that were the case, we'd be all over the Ravens as they just throttled the Raiders by a 55-20 count while the Steelers struggled at home with the lowly Chiefs, barely earning a 16-13 overtime win. In the process, Pittsburgh lost its leader as QB Ben Roethlisberger is out with a shoulder injury. None of this is secret and many will back Baltimore in what looks like a slam dunk win. We're not so sure. Yes, Big Ben is important but prior to Monday's game, the Steelers were listed as the 3.5-point favourite for this one. Now, Baltimore is 3.5? Pittsburgh's defence, allowing a league-low 265 yards per game is more than capable of keeping this rival game in check.

TAKING: STEELERS +3.5


THE REST

Eagles (3-6) at Redskins (3-6)

LINE: WASHINGTON BY 3.5

It's difficult to get behind the Eagles, with their 1-7 record against the spread. However, this may be the first game they are priced properly. The Redskins have their own issues, allowing nearly 28 points a game and more than 300 yards passing. Washington has lost all three games straight up when favoured this year.

TAKING: EAGLES +3.5

Packers (6-3) at Lions (4-5)

LINE: GREEN BAY BY 3.5

The Lions are their own worst enemies. Detroit owns the #1 ranked passing offence with 307 yards per game and ranks only behind New England for most yards overall. If they ever get their act together, look out. Green Bay could help. The Packers are not whole as the week off hasn't really helped their long list of key injuries

TAKING: LIONS +3.5

Cardinals (4-5) at Falcons (8-1)

LINE: ATLANTA BY 9.5

Nobody's perfect. Not anymore, after the Falcons suffered their first loss in New Orleans last week The Dirty Birds have won all four at home but only once by more than six points. Falcons could also be missing a couple of key players for this one. A rested Arizona defence taking this many points has appeal.

TAKING: CARDINALS +9.5

Browns (2-7) at Cowboys (4-5)

LINE: DALLAS BY 8

Dallas spotting more than a full touchdown is fool's gold. The Cowboys are one of the great underachieving teams of our time. They have just four covers in past 17 when giving points and they are offering them to one of the league's best point takers. Cleveland is rested and will be up for this overhyped host.

TAKING: BROWNS +8

Jets (3-6) at Rams (3-5-1)

LINE: ST. LOUIS BY 3.5

The Jets are a joke but no one is laughing. The team has failed to score double-digits in its past two games as the entire offence is useless. Still, we're not prepared to give away points with a St. Louis team that has not been favoured all year and returns home after exhausting affair with division leading Niners.

TAKING: JETS +3.5

Colts (6-3) at Patriots (6-3)

LINE: NEW ENGLAND BY 9

We can't knock the Colts for defeating weak teams. Defeating the Browns, Titans, Dolphins and Jaguars in consecutive weeks is commendable for an upstart team. This will be different as the Patriots are No. 1 ranked in both points scored and total yards. It's not Brady vs. Manning anymore but Tom will still treat it that way.

TAKING: PATRIOTS -9

Jaguars (1-8) at Texans (8-1)

LINE: HOUSTON BY 15

We're rarely fond of giving away this many points in the wild and wacky NFL but this could be the most genuine first versus worst in quite some time. The Jaguars lack playmakers, coaching and desire. The Texans sit just two games up on the charging Colts and can ill afford to ease up quite yet. A blowout is in order.

TAKING: TEXANS -15

Saints (4-5) at Raiders (3-6)

LINE: NEW ORLEANS BY 4.5

If you've ever wondered what a "sandwich" game is, this could be the textbook example. The Saints had a huge win over the Falcons last week. After this one, New Orleans will host San Francisco, head to Atlanta for a Thursday game and then take on the Giants. Could you blame them for overlooking this one?

TAKING: RAIDERS +4.5

Chargers (4-5) at Broncos (6-3)

LINE: DENVER BY 8

Most teams would be looking to exact revenge after blowing a 24-0 lead to Denver before losing 35-24. Most teams aren't the Chargers. The Bolts find unique ways to lose games but with Denver's stock at its height and San Diego's appeal at its customary low level, oddsmakers have overcompensated with this prohibitive spread.

TAKING: CHARGERS +8

Bears (7-2) at 49ers (6-2-1)

LINE: NO LINE

This game is off the board as the status of each team's starting quarterback is unknown. Regular Bears QB Jay Cutler and regular 49ers QB Alex Smith suffered concussions in Week 10.


 

Last week: 7-7 (Season: 72-69-4)

Best bets last week: 1-2 (Season: 14-15-1)


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