Randall the Handle: Week 13

New York Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez clenches his fist while celebrating after he passed to wide...

New York Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez clenches his fist while celebrating after he passed to wide receiver Santonio Holmes for the winning touchdown against the Buffalo Bills in the fourth quarter of their NFL game in East Rutherford, New Jersey, November 27, 2011. (REUTERS/Ray Stubblebine)

Randall the Handle, Special to QMI Agency

, Last Updated: 6:57 PM ET

Sun Media handicapper, Randall the Handle and Sun Media’s Rob Longley and Ken Fidlin each were awarded a fictitious bankroll of $1000 to start the season. With that play money, they will be making their NFL selections each week along with a specified amount attached to the games they find most appealing. Our only stipulation was that any wager could not exceed 5% of their respective bankroll. As in the real wagering world, each wager requires the selector risk $11 to win $10.

 

Last Week: -$113

Current bankroll: $737

 

Jets (6-5) at Redskins (4-7)

LINE: NY JETS BY 3

Give Mark Sanchez a lot of time against poor defences and he can find his way to some wins, despite some bumps along the way. Against quality teams, you can ”fuggedaboutit”. New York’s only win against a winning team was a fluky victory in opening week over the Cowboys. The Redskins are a sub .500 squad but some of their offensive players have returned from injury and the team may have found in a runner in Roy Helu. Washington’s defence remains solid and is more than capable of bothering Sanchez all day. The Jets have a hard enough time winning these days, let alone by a margin, while on the road.

TAKING: REDSKINS +3

RISKING: $33 TO WIN $33

Falcons (7-4) at Texans (8-3)

LINE: ATLANTA BY 3

We understand that the Texans are forced to start rookie T.J. Yates but c’mon now, should Atlanta really be favoured as the visitor here? That’s fundamentally wrong and that forces us to do the right thing. For the first time in their history, the Texans can taste the playoffs. They aren’t about to let that opportunity slip way. The Falcons are a winning team but they rarely have an easy time of it. Houston has a solid defence, a dynamic running attack and they are at home. That’s more than enough to stay close to an unassertive Atlanta bunch that has covered just two of past eight as chalk.

TAKING: TEXANS +3

RISKING: $33 TO WIN $30

Ravens (8-3) at Browns (4-7)

LINE: BALTIMORE BY 6½

Time and time again we’ve seen the Ravens come up with a stinker after a big win. We knew defeating San Francisco on Thanksgiving was a big win when the team poured Gatorade over its coach in Week 11 of a 16-game schedule. Perhaps they poured the energy drink over John Harbaugh after both wins against Pittsburgh only to be followed losses to the Titans and Seahawks respectively. Or to the Jaguars after knocking off Houston. You get our drift. The Browns fit right in except that Cleveland can play some defence while the offence is showing signs of improvement. Expect a close one.

TAKING: BROWNS +6½

RISKING: $22 TO WIN $20

Titans (6-5) at Bills (5-6)

LINE: BUFFALO BY 1½

Hard to rely on the Bills as a favourite these days with their cluster of key injuries and their inability to stop their opposition. Buffalo’s current four-game losing streak has them being outscored 134-50. Prefer taking points with Bills under current physical, mental makeup.

TAKING: TITANS +1½

Chiefs (4-7) at Bears (7-4)

LINE: CHICAGO BY 7

Kyle Orton will guide the Chiefs now but Kansas City’s issues go much deeper than QB issues. The Bears must keep winning and despite losing their pivot, this visitor does not bring the talent with them to compete against this strong host.

TAKING: BEARS –7

Raiders (7-4) at Dolphins (3-8)

LINE: MIAMI BY 3

Why is a team that sits five games below .500 made a 3-pt choice over a squad that is currently three games above it? Perhaps won-loss records are the only stat where Oakland actually tops Miami? Raiders’ defence remains weak while Dolphins’ is solid and that’s enough to fade the visitor here.

TAKING: DOLPHINS –3

Bengals (7-4) at Steelers (8-3)

LINE: PITTSBURGH BY 6½

Despite considerable injuries, the Steelers must trot their wounded stars on to the field in order to remain in the hunt. That makes it difficult to be offering generous points within its division, against a Bengals team that hung in with them a few weeks ago and typically plays Pittsburgh tough.

TAKING: BENGALS +6½

Panthers (3-8) at Bucs (4-7)

LINE: N/A

Tampa is home for only the second time in seven weeks, including a trip overseas and that figures to have them revved up for this divisional opponent. The Panthers are abysmal against the run and that should have LeGarrette Blount rambling over people.

TAKING: —

Lions (7-4) at Saints (8-3)

LINE: NEW ORLEANS BY 9

Had this game been played prior to Detroit’s humiliating loss to Green Bay on Thanksgiving and before the Saints’ Monday night romp over the Giants, this line would have been six or so. Recent recall in the minds of bettors inflates this price and that offers us value on this offensively potent puppy.

TAKING: LIONS +9

Broncos (6-5) at Vikings (2-9)

LINE: MINNESOTA BY 1½

An above .500 Broncos team facing a limited Minnesota team, yet the Vikings are favoured. Seems odd, no? Not when you consider that Minnesota’s weakness is in stopping the pass and Denver can’t throw the ball. Vikings can stop the run and therefore should stay in control.

TAKING: VIKINGS –1½

Rams (2-9) at 49ers (9-2)

LINE: SAN FRANCISCO BY 13

A low over/under total with a big pointspread usually bodes well for the underdog and we’ll lean that way here despite the overwhelming negatives cast upon the Rams. The Niners have all but locked up the NFC West and there is no need for them to lean heavily on the gas pedal right now.

TAKING: RAMS +13

Cowboys (7-4) at Cards (4-7)

LINE: DALLAS BY 4½

Cowboys haven’t won a road game this season by more than three points and this one may not be as easy as it looks. The Cardinals have held three of their past four opponents to 20 points or less and now return home after pair on the road. Kevin Kolb should be back at QB for host and that can’t hurt.

TAKING: CARDINALS +4½

Packers (11-0) at Giants (6-5)

LINE: GREEN BAY BY 7

The Packers keep winning. They keep covering. Now they square off against a Giants team, playing on a short week after being humiliated by the Saints on Monday night. But Giants’ backs are to the wall and we expect them to put up a fight here.

TAKING: GIANTS +7

Colts (0-11) at Patriots (8-3)

LINE: NEW ENGLAND BY 20

In his first start for the Colts Dan Orlovsky will try to keep within three touchdowns of Indy’s longstanding rival. The visitor won’t lay down while Belichick could very well sit some Patriots late, allowing Indy to come in through a wide open back door.

TAKING: COLTS +20

Chargers (4-7) at Jaguars (3-8)

LINE: SAN DIEGO BY 3

Whatever talent the Chargers have is offset by lousy coaching, lack of desire and various injuries. That is usually not a good formula for spotting road points no matter who the opponent might be. Jacksonville is happy to be home for first time in a month, in addition to having new coach and owner.

TAKING: JAGUARS +3

 

Last week’s record: 5–11

Season: 74–92–9

 

Follow Randall: twitter.com/randallhandle

Ken Fidlin’s Picks

Week 13

Last Week: 9-7

Season: 84-82-9

This Week

Seahawks, Titans, Bears, Dolphins, Bengals, Browns, Redskins, Falcons, Panthers, Saints, Broncos , 49ers, Cardinals, Packers, Patriots, Chargers

Money Plays

Last Week

Won $30 on Texans

Lost $33 on Bengals

On The Week: Lost $3

Bank: $964

This Week

Risking $33 on Bears

Risking $33 on Packers

Longley NFL picks

Jets,Packers, Titans, Bears, Raiders, Bengals, Ravens, Falcons, Bucs -- no pick, off the board, Saints, Broncos, 49ers, Cowboys, Colts, Chargers

Last week - 8-8

Season - 79-87-9

Bets: Lost $12 in bank $952

This Week:

Bet $33 on Packers

Bet $22 on Saints

 

 


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