Bilicki's NFL Fantasy: Week 6

DAN BILICKI, QMI Agency

, Last Updated: 3:42 PM ET

TORONTO - The Broncos' bye week couldn't have come at a worse time for Kyle Orton. After sucking up a storm against the Chargers to the point he was pulled, it looks like the Broncos are ready to begin the Tim Tebow era. For better or worse.

Orton had only managed 34 yards in the game and has actually been a terrible fantasy play this season. He ranks 26th among quarterbacks, behind a bunch of guys that are likely on the waiver wire and are waiting to replace Orton on your team.

Tebow looked surprisingly good in his relief appearance, racking up 16 fantasy points in the second half of the game. Compare that to the season-high 20 fantasy points that Orton scored last week — in a blowout loss to Green Bay — and you may see why the Broncos made the switch.

I wouldn’t expect Cam Newton-type numbers from Tebow, but he could bring in a decent haul week to week as a bye-week fill-in or injury spot starter. His ability to gain yards on the ground and punch in a goal-line TD or two should keep him in double digits in most weeks.

As for Orton, well you can safely drop him and never look back. He’ll probably only get more playing time if Tebow somehow gets injured.

* Thanks to Curtis Painter being thrust into the starting QB role in Indy, we’ve seen Pierre Garcon become nearly a must-start. With Painter at the helm the past two weeks, Garcon has seven receptions for 271 yards and four touchdowns. Also, since Painter took over for Kerry Collins against Pittsburgh, Garcon leads the team in targets with 21 in that span.

* If you’re still holding on to Derrick Mason after his trade from the Jets to Houston this week, I wouldn’t be getting my hopes up that he’ll have a breakthrough with his new team. The veteran will get playing time as long as Andre Johnson is out — which should be around two more weeks — but players on the move mid-season rarely, if ever, have an impact. The most interesting part of this trade may be for conspiracy theorists though: Could Mason’s acquisition mean that Johnson will be out longer than expected?

* While most Cowboys and their fans probably enjoyed having their bye week at this point and watching their division crumble around them, there may be one exception: Laurent Robinson. Starting in place of the injured Miles Austin, Robinson had seven catches for 116 yards against Detroit. Had Austin remained out for another week or so Robinson would have become a solid add in many leagues. Keep an eye on Austin’s hamstring issue; if it flares up again, don’t be afraid to insert Robinson into your lineup as a decent replacement.

* Don’t forget that Dez Bryant has also been banged up since early this season. With the Cowboys getting that extra week off, he should be back to 100% and ready to tear up the Patriots turnstile defence. Remember how effective Bryant was during that first quarter of Week 1 against the Jets?

* What did we say about not getting too fired up about grabbing Stevan Ridley? Well, despite the fact the rookie was coming off a huge day in Oakland, Bill Belichick primarily used BenJarvus Green-Ellis in the running game in Week 5. In fact, the use of Green-Ellis was pretty lopsided: He had 20 more carries than Ridley and 123 more yards. Of course, this could easily flip from week to week, so you can always try to win the lottery by playing Ridley.

* It sure was nice of Atlanta coach Mike Smith to let us all know early on that receiver Julio Jones would be out this week. Harry Douglas should start, but Jones’ absence really just means that Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez will be getting more looks.

STAT CORNER

Of the top 50 rushing yards leaders in the NFL, nobody has a worse YPC average than Chris Johnson.

TOOK YOU LONG ENOUGH

Last week, Tom Brady threw the first regular-season red-zone interception of his career. It only took 325 pass attempts for him to cough one up. He also has 91 TDs during that stretch.

SIT/START

Sit Matt Schaub, QB, HOU at BAL — Schaub’s banged up, missing his top receiver and is visiting the Ravens, who are coming off a bye week.

Sit Curtis Painter, RB, IND at CIN — Maybe you were thinking about going with him after two decent weeks. Think again: Cincy’s pass defence is ranked No. 1.

Start Daniel Thomas, RB, MIA at NYJ — He’s healthy again and only Darren McFadden averages more yards per game than him.

Sit Jahvid Best, RB, DET vs. SF — The Niners smothered the Bucs last week and have one of the best run defences around.

Start Earnest Graham, RB, TB vs. NO — With LeGarrette Blount out with a knee injury for at least two weeks, Graham becomes the No. 1 guy against a mediocre Saints defence.

Start James Starks, RB, GB vs. STL — The Rams are allowing an astounding 179.8 rushing yards per game.

Start Donald Jones, WR, BUF at NYG — Last week, cornerback Aaron Ross was torched by the immortal Doug Baldwin. I like Jones’ chances.

Sit Mario Manningham, NYG vs. BUF — Thanks to the emergence of Victor Cruz, Manningham is now fourth on the team in receiving.

Start Ed Dickson, TE, BAL vs. HOU — The Texans may be good at defending against TEs, but Dickson is the team’s leading target.

VERSUS

Josh Freeman, QB, TB

*Has not thrown a touchdown pass in two of his past three games.

*Has already thrown as many interceptions as he had all last season with six.

*New Orleans have allowed the ninth most fantasy points in the league to opposing QBs

*This game could turn into a shootout, as the Bucs showed last week their defence isn’t exactly top notch.

Matt Ryan, QB, ATL

*He'll be missing first-round pick Julio Jones, who is out with a hamstring issue.

*Hosting Carolina's staunch pass defence, which ranks ninth in the league against opposing QBs.

*Much better at home than on the road — his career QB rating is 14.8 points higher at the Georgia Dome.

*Falcons' defensive injuries may lead to a clock-controlling, run-oriented game on offence.

Verdict: Of these two NFC South rivals, Freeman is more likely to bounce back from his poor performance.

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