Favs finally get upper hand

TREVOR BUNKE -- Ottawa Sun

, Last Updated: 7:54 AM ET

Had you simply taken all the favourites in Week 6, you would have come away with a 10-4 record.

So how have the favourites fared in 2005? They're 46-40-2 against the spread (ATS). But if you throw out last week's results, their record was only 36-36-2 ATS.

Since most people tend to take the favourite, expect the oddsmakers to try and entice you with some irresistible lines as the year goes on. Just don't say you weren't warned.

On to Week 7:

Kansas City (+2) at Miami: This game has been moved up to tonight so the teams can avoid the full impact of Hurricane Wilma. While the Dolphins are 2-0 at home, they just don't have the offence to keep up with the Chiefs. For what it's worth, Miami was forced to switch dates twice for home games last season due to hurricanes and lost both times. CHIEFS

New Orleans (+3) at St. Louis: The key here is trying to figure out whether the Saints who were crushed 52-3 two weeks ago by the Packers or the Saints who lost 34-31 last week to the Falcons are going to show up vs. the Rams. Considering the loss to the Packers was in Green Bay, bet on this being another long road game for New Orleans. RAMS

Green Bay (-1.5) at Minnesota: This is how bad the NFC North is: The winner of Sunday's game could be tied for first place with a 2-4 record. The Packers, coming off a bye week, crushed the Saints 52-3 two weeks ago. The Vikings managed only a measly field goal in last Sunday's 28-3 loss to the Bears. Another 52-3 game? PACKERS

Indianapolis (-15) at Houston: The only hope the Texans have is if QB Peyton Manning, RB Edgerrin James and WR Marvin Harrison all come down with some sort of mystery ailment ... and even that might not be enough. COLTS

Pittsburgh (Pick) at Cincinnati: Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger (knee) returns after a one-game absence. And the last time we checked, the only losses he's suffered in his career have been at the hands of the Patriots. Really, who have the Bengals beaten this season? Cleveland, Chicago, Minnesota, Houston and Tennessee. Combined, that quintet has a 7-19 record (.269 winning percentage). I just can't see the Bengals going to 6-1 and opening up a 21/2-game lead on Pittsburgh. STEELERS

San Diego (+3.5) at Philadelphia: Here a couple of stats to chew on: The Eagles are 6-0 under coach Andy Reid after bye week and, since 2000, have a 17-3 record following a loss. Chargers RB LaDainian Tomlinson gets his touchdown record, but Philadelphia gets the win. EAGLES

Detroit (+2.5) at Cleveland: Next to the Vikings, the Lions are probably suffering through the most inner turmoil. Detroit QB Jeff Garcia has been cleared to play this week, but coach Steve Mariucci -- it would appear -- will stick with the struggling Joey Harrington. The Browns at least know Trent Dilfer will start, and for the most part, be steady at home. BROWNS

San Francisco (+12.5) at Washington: All of the Redskins' games have been close (seven points or less) this season. That will all change with the lousy 49ers coming to town. WR Santana Moss alone might score four or five touchdowns. REDSKINS

Dallas (+3) at Seattle: The Cowboys played with fire last week vs. the Giants and got away with one. That's the sign of a good team. That game, however, was at home. Marching into Seattle and taking out the Seahawks -- who are 3-0 at home -- will be a lot more difficult. I don't think Dallas is good enough to do it, but good enough to keep it close. COWBOYS

Buffalo (+3) at Oakland: It's win or go home for the Raiders. A loss to the Bills would drop Oakland's record to 1-5 and essentially end their season. This should be the week RB Lamont Jordan gets untracked for the Raiders if you consider WR Randy Ross (ribs) is likely out, which puts more of a focus on the run game, and the Bills' run defence is pitiful. RAIDERS

Baltimore (+1) at Chicago: Safest bet of the week: Take the under. The one-point spread is indicative of the fact that the team that scores first could win 3-0. BEARS

Tennessee (+3.5) at Arizona: I've given up entirely on the Cardinals. Even if the Titans are missing QB Steve McNair (back/ankle), they can stay within a field goal of Arizona. TITANS

Denver (+2) at NY Giants: The Broncos aren't nearly as good as their 5-1 record. While they've won five straight, four of those victories have been at home. They're overdue for a loss. Giants QB Eli Manning is the real deal, and the team is surrounding him with the right personnel to guarantee success. GIANTS

NY Jets (+7) at Atlanta: If there is one thing Falcons QB Michael Vick enjoys, it's being in the spotlight. Like Week 1's victory over Philadelphia in the Georgia Dome on Monday Night Football, expect Vick to have a big game -- even better -- against the Jets. FALCONS

Byes: Carolina, Jacksonville, New England, Tampa Bay.

Last Week: 5-9.

Season: 40-46-2.

Best Bet: Washington.

Best Bets: 2-4 after 3.5-point favourite Dallas only beat the NY Giants 16-13.

Suicide Pick: Washington.

Suicide Picks: 6-0 after Seattle beat Houston 42-10.


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